Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 3
Saturday, September 30, 2006 at 1:25 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
84-76 Rating 1532
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Marlins
77-83 Rating 1502
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 114 97
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.3 4.7
Last meeting 14 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 5.4 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.8
Win percentage 52% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 52%