Final Score: Reds 5 - Marlins 1
Thursday, September 28, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Reds @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
78-80 Rating 1473
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.6
Marlins
77-81 Rating 1506
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Marlins
All-time wins 66 53
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 2 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Marlins
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.7
Win percentage 49% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 53%