Final Score: Reds 5 - Astros 4
Tuesday, September 19, 2006 at 8:05 PM ET

Reds @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
73-77 Rating 1469
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.6
Astros
72-77 Rating 1507
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Astros
All-time wins 314 305
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Astros
Games played 150 149
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.5
Win percentage 49% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 52%