Final Score: Orioles 5 - Red Sox 4
Saturday, September 30, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Orioles @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
69-91 Rating 1460
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +1.0
Red Sox
85-75 Rating 1538
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Red Sox
All-time wins 247 302
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.8
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Red Sox
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.0
Avg runs conceded 5.5 5.1
Win percentage 43% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 59%