Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Blue Jays 5
Saturday, September 23, 2006 at 4:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
83-71 Rating 1544
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Blue Jays
80-73 Rating 1505
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 230 180
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 4.6
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 154 153
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.7
Win percentage 54% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 60%