Final Score: Phillies 9 - Nationals 3
Sunday, October 2, 2005 at 1:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
87-74 Rating 1532
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Nationals
81-80 Rating 1487
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 316 302
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 8 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 54% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 51%