Final Score: Phillies 4 - Nationals 3
Friday, September 30, 2005 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
85-74 Rating 1528
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Nationals
81-78 Rating 1491
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 314 302
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 159 159
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 53% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 53%