Final Score: Cubs 4 - Padres 2
Sunday, May 16, 2004 at 4:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
21-15 Rating 1512
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.2
Padres
21-16 Rating 1472
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Padres
All-time wins 220 169
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.6 4.0
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Padres
Games played 36 37
Avg runs scored 5.1 4.4
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.0
Win percentage 58% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 62%