Final Score: Reds 1 - Padres 2
Wednesday, May 12, 2004 at 10:05 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
17-15 Rating 1462
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
19-14 Rating 1473
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 296 233
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 3.9
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 32 33
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.0
Win percentage 53% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 65%