Final Score: Reds 6 - Padres 3
Tuesday, May 11, 2004 at 10:05 PM ET

Reds @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
16-15 Rating 1459
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.4
Padres
19-13 Rating 1475
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Padres
All-time wins 295 233
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 3.9
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Padres
Games played 31 32
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.0
Win percentage 52% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 69%