Final Score: Yankees 4 - Red Sox 3
Saturday, October 11, 2003 at 4:00 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
105-63-1 Rating 1590
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.2
Red Sox
99-70 Rating 1552
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 258 251
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 169 169
Avg runs scored 5.3 5.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.9
Win percentage 62% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 64% 66%