| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | 0–5 | Stars +5 | Stars +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 4–1 | Senators +3 | Bruins +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 3–2 | Jets +1 | Penguins +0.5 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 1–4 | Lightning +3 | Lightning +0.9 | Regular Season |