| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2012 | 4–3 | Capitals +1 | Bruins +0.7 | ||
| Apr 21, 2012 | 2–1 | Blackhawks +1 | Mammoth +0.5 | ||
| Apr 21, 2012 | 0–3 | Panthers +3 | Devils +0.2 | ||
| Apr 21, 2012 | 2–0 | Senators +2 | Rangers +0.9 | ||
| Apr 21, 2012 | 1–3 | Blues +2 | Blues +0.7 |