Final Score: Senators 4 - Maple Leafs 2
Saturday, March 15, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Senators @ Maple Leafs
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Senators | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 83 | 84 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Senators | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 65 | 65 |
| Avg goals scored | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 61% |
Recent Results
Senators
vs Boston Bruins
Mar 13, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Mar 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New York Rangers
Mar 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Mar 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Washington Capitals
Mar 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs San Jose Sharks
Mar 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Winnipeg Jets
Feb 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Montreal Canadiens
Feb 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 8, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Maple Leafs
vs Florida Panthers
Mar 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Utah Mammoth
Mar 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Colorado Avalanche
Mar 8, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs San Jose Sharks
Mar 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ New York Rangers
Feb 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Boston Bruins
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Feb 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3