Final Score: Lightning 3 - Penguins 7
Sunday, February 26, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
37-21 Rating 1587
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
60%
40%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2
Penguins
28-30 Rating 1504
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Penguins
All-time wins 51 60
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 3.2
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Penguins
Games played 58 58
Avg goals scored 3.6 3.2
Avg goals conceded 2.9 3.2
Win percentage 64% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 54%