Final Score: Lightning 1 - Penguins 4
Saturday, October 17, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
2-4 Rating 1411
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
25%
75%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Penguins +2.2
Penguins
6-1 Rating 1572
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Penguins
All-time wins 27 30
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.9 3.0
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Penguins
Games played 6 7
Avg goals scored 2.7 3.4
Avg goals conceded 3.8 2.4
Win percentage 33% 86%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 50%