Final Score: Penguins 1 - Lightning 5
Thursday, January 29, 2004 at 7:00 PM ET

Penguins @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Penguins
11-35-5 Rating 1389
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
30%
70%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.6
Lightning
24-19-6 Rating 1507
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Lightning
All-time wins 24 16
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.3 2.9
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Lightning
Games played 51 49
Avg goals scored 2.0 2.6
Avg goals conceded 3.7 2.3
Win percentage 22% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 15% 48%