Final Score: Thunder 91 - Spurs 118
Thursday, May 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET

Thunder @ Spurs

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Thunder
75-20 Rating 1991
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +3.0
Spurs
72-26 Rating 1940
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Spurs
All-time wins 108 127
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 102.5 104.0
Last meeting 127 114

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Spurs
Games played 95 98
Avg points scored 118.9 119.1
Avg points conceded 107.8 110.6
Win percentage 79% 73%
Away win % / Home win % 76% 77%