Final Score: Thunder 123 - Spurs 108
Friday, May 22, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET

Thunder @ Spurs

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Thunder
73-19 Rating 1964
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +4.3
Spurs
71-24 Rating 1967
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Thunder Spurs
All-time wins 106 126
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 102.4 104.0
Last meeting 122 113

Key Season Stats

Stat Thunder Spurs
Games played 92 95
Avg points scored 119.2 119.4
Avg points conceded 107.8 110.6
Win percentage 79% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 77% 78%