Final Score: Timberwolves 104 - Spurs 102
Monday, May 4, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET

Timberwolves @ Spurs

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Timberwolves
53-35 Rating 1672
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
17%
83%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +9.7
Spurs
66-21 Rating 1936
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Timberwolves Spurs
All-time wins 48 102
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 97.4 101.9
Last meeting 123 126

Key Season Stats

Stat Timberwolves Spurs
Games played 88 87
Avg points scored 117.6 119.4
Avg points conceded 114.2 110.9
Win percentage 60% 76%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 79%