Final Score: Warriors 137 - Mavericks 131
Monday, March 23, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET

Warriors @ Mavericks

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Warriors
33-38 Rating 1391
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Dallas Mavericks +0.7
Mavericks
23-48 Rating 1252
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Warriors Mavericks
All-time wins 94 99
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 108.1 109.2
Last meeting 115 123

Key Season Stats

Stat Warriors Mavericks
Games played 71 71
Avg points scored 114.7 113.5
Avg points conceded 114.6 118.7
Win percentage 46% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 39%