Final Score: Heat 107 - Lakers 108
Friday, December 4, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Lakers

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
10-8 Rating 1486
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
12%
88%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Lakers +11.3
Lakers
14-3 Rating 1837
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Lakers
All-time wins 14 28
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 94.5 101.8
Last meeting 105 108

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Lakers
Games played 18 17
Avg points scored 96.1 104.2
Avg points conceded 96.4 96.1
Win percentage 56% 82%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 85%