Final Score: Suns 129 - Heat 135
Wednesday, March 4, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Suns @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Suns
34-26 Rating 1575
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +0.7
Heat
31-28 Rating 1437
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Suns Heat
All-time wins 30 11
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 105.6 98.4
Last meeting 92 107

Key Season Stats

Stat Suns Heat
Games played 60 59
Avg points scored 107.0 96.8
Avg points conceded 105.2 97.1
Win percentage 57% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 65%