Final Score: Cardinals 3 - Cubs 11
Friday, July 4, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET
Cardinals @ Cubs
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Cardinals | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 473 | 461 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 3 |
| Stat | Cardinals | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 88 | 87 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 65% |
Recent Results
Cardinals
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 15
9-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Chicago Cubs
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
vs Chicago Cubs
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Chicago Cubs
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
Cubs
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Houston Astros
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Houston Astros
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 15
12-3
@ Houston Astros
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ St. Louis Cardinals
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8