Final Score: Pirates 2 - Phillies 5
Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 6:05 PM ET
Pirates @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 336 | 319 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 8 |
| Stat | Pirates | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 45 | 44 |
| Avg runs scored | 3.1 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Win percentage | 33% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 26% | 65% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Philadelphia Phillies
May 16, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ New York Mets
May 14, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ New York Mets
May 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ New York Mets
May 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Atlanta Braves
May 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Atlanta Braves
May 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Atlanta Braves
May 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 7, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 6, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ St. Louis Cardinals
May 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
Phillies
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
May 16, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 14, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 21
7-14
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs St. Louis Cardinals
May 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 10, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Cleveland Guardians
May 9, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 7, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
@ Tampa Bay Rays
May 6, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4