Final Score: Cardinals 3 - Phillies 2
Monday, May 12, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Cardinals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
22-19 Rating 1509
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Phillies
24-16 Rating 1551
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Phillies
All-time wins 344 325
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 7 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Phillies
Games played 41 40
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.2
Win percentage 54% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 35% 68%