Final Score: Diamondbacks 11 - Phillies 9
Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 2:05 PM ET

Diamondbacks @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Diamondbacks
17-16 Rating 1525
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
19-14 Rating 1545
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Diamondbacks Phillies
All-time wins 93 91
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.6
Last meeting 2 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Diamondbacks Phillies
Games played 33 33
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 52% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 72%