Final Score: Nationals 10 - Orioles 6
Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
19-27 Rating 1450
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.8
Orioles
15-28 Rating 1500
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Orioles
All-time wins 53 64
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.1
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Orioles
Games played 46 43
Avg runs scored 4.1 3.7
Avg runs conceded 5.3 5.4
Win percentage 41% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 38%