Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Rays 0
Wednesday, April 16, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
9-10 Rating 1496
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
8-9 Rating 1517
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 257 226
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 19 17
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.8
Avg runs conceded 5.1 3.9
Win percentage 47% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 57%