Final Score: Phillies 8 - Marlins 3
Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
27-12 Rating 1556
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Marlins
10-30 Rating 1451
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 282 236
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 39 40
Avg runs scored 5.1 3.6
Avg runs conceded 3.6 5.8
Win percentage 69% 25%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 24%