Final Score: Red Sox 2 - Orioles 5
Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
77-83 Rating 1494
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.8
Orioles
100-60 Rating 1548
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 472 379
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.0 4.4
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.8 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.2
Win percentage 48% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 61%