Final Score: Red Sox 11 - Cubs 5
Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 2:20 PM ET

Red Sox @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
49-44 Rating 1516
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Cubs
43-48 Rating 1479
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Cubs
All-time wins 9 11
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 5.2
Last meeting 4 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Cubs
Games played 93 91
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.4
Win percentage 53% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 49%