Final Score: Yankees 4 - Rays 5
Friday, May 5, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
17-15 Rating 1553
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
26-6 Rating 1568
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 253 189
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.1
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 32 32
Avg runs scored 3.9 6.6
Avg runs conceded 3.8 3.0
Win percentage 53% 81%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 89%