Final Score: Red Sox 9 - Astros 5
Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 4:20 PM ET

Red Sox @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
96-72 Rating 1542
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Astros
99-68 Rating 1573
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Astros
All-time wins 39 34
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 4.7
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Astros
Games played 168 167
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.1
Win percentage 57% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 64%