Final Score: Phillies 1 - Marlins 3
Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 6:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
82-78 Rating 1495
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Marlins
65-95 Rating 1433
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 261 220
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.6 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.3
Win percentage 51% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 51%