Final Score: Phillies 5 - Red Sox 4
Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 1:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
43-44 Rating 1490
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.8
Red Sox
55-35 Rating 1543
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Red Sox
All-time wins 32 48
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 5.4
Last meeting 11 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Red Sox
Games played 87 90
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 49% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 61%