Final Score: Red Sox 11 - Phillies 3
Friday, May 21, 2021 at 7:05 PM ET

Red Sox @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
27-18 Rating 1525
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.2
Phillies
22-22 Rating 1484
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Phillies
All-time wins 45 30
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.4 4.2
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Phillies
Games played 45 44
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.3
Win percentage 60% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 70% 64%