Final Score: Pirates 11 - Nationals 8
Sunday, October 1, 2017 at 3:05 PM ET

Pirates @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
74-87 Rating 1483
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.9
Nationals
97-64 Rating 1550
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Nationals
All-time wins 319 295
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Nationals
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 46% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 59%