Final Score: Nationals 4 - Padres 1
Saturday, May 16, 2015 at 8:40 PM ET

Nationals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
20-17 Rating 1543
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.4
Padres
19-18 Rating 1486
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Padres
All-time wins 239 216
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 3.9
Last meeting 10 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Padres
Games played 37 37
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.8
Win percentage 54% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 56%