Final Score: Marlins 3 - Phillies 7
Tuesday, April 21, 2015 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
3-10 Rating 1453
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.4
Phillies
4-9 Rating 1467
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 161 198
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 5.0
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 13 13
Avg runs scored 3.8 2.5
Avg runs conceded 5.0 4.3
Win percentage 23% 31%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 50%