Final Score: Phillies 10 - Nationals 4
Thursday, July 31, 2014 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
47-61 Rating 1468
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.9
Nationals
58-47 Rating 1530
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 405 369
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.2
Last meeting 3 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 108 105
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 3.5
Win percentage 44% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 60%