Final Score: Cubs 7 - Nationals 2
Friday, July 4, 2014 at 11:05 AM ET

Cubs @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
37-46 Rating 1445
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +1.1
Nationals
46-38 Rating 1528
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Nationals
All-time wins 278 304
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.3
Last meeting 2 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Nationals
Games played 83 84
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.1
Avg runs conceded 3.9 3.5
Win percentage 45% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 60%