Final Score: Yankees 2 - Astros 1
Saturday, September 28, 2013 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
83-77 Rating 1538
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
65%
35%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +1.5
Astros
51-109 Rating 1374
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Astros
All-time wins 11 2
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 5.5 3.9
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Astros
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.3
Win percentage 52% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 30%