Final Score: Phillies 5 - Nationals 4
Saturday, September 14, 2013 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
68-79 Rating 1495
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.5
Nationals
78-69 Rating 1527
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 401 362
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 147 147
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.0
Win percentage 46% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 57%