Final Score: Astros 4 - Pirates 2
Saturday, May 18, 2013 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
11-31 Rating 1384
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.2
Pirates
25-17 Rating 1476
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 297 278
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 42 42
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 6.1 3.6
Win percentage 26% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 64%