Final Score: Astros 4 - Pirates 5
Friday, May 17, 2013 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
11-30 Rating 1386
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.2
Pirates
24-17 Rating 1475
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 297 277
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 1 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 41 41
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 6.2 3.6
Win percentage 27% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 62%