Final Score: Nationals 6 - Padres 5
Friday, May 17, 2013 at 10:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
22-19 Rating 1528
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.3
Padres
18-22 Rating 1479
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Padres
All-time wins 230 210
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 3.9
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Padres
Games played 41 40
Avg runs scored 3.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.7 4.4
Win percentage 54% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 53%