Final Score: Red Sox 3 - Orioles 6
Sunday, September 30, 2012 at 1:35 PM ET

Red Sox @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
69-89 Rating 1492
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Baltimore Orioles +0.6
Orioles
91-67 Rating 1530
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Orioles
All-time wins 367 291
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.9 4.4
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Orioles
Games played 158 158
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.4
Win percentage 44% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 57%