Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Rays 2
Monday, September 17, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
66-81 Rating 1499
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.7
Rays
78-68 Rating 1546
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Rays
All-time wins 151 109
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 4.3
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Rays
Games played 147 146
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.8 3.6
Win percentage 45% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 55%