Final Score: Phillies 4 - Astros 6
Thursday, September 13, 2012 at 8:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
72-71 Rating 1539
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
65%
35%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
Astros
45-98 Rating 1377
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Astros
All-time wins 208 233
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 4.3
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Astros
Games played 143 143
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.0
Win percentage 50% 31%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 41%